I'm confirming that current trend of General WL tickets are very unlikely get confirmed, and the cancellations are being moved to Tatkal Quota from general quota.
I did reserve on AP Express from Hyd -> NDLS for 3A on 20/3 with WL status is 25. I posted PNR forum gave prediction for confirmation 15/15. Before 2 days of journey 21/5, the WL status is 8, and it got moved to 6, a day before journey. It did not move till the chart prepared, and at the final chart preparation it got moved to 3. But the Tatkal waitlist status moved from 35 -> 16 before the chart preparation. I'm sure all tatkal tickets might have got confirmed.
This...
more... very well tells the general quota moved to tatkat quota.
Cautioning you guys, Just beware do not assume even though you reserve well in advance, If waitlist number is low.